So, the political dust is settling down in Jammu &
Kashmir but this political thriller has
not ended yet.Though Jharkhand drama ended predictably , J & k
remained full of suspense through out the counting day.Now it’s time to analyse
the ground reality.Political situation in J & K post counting seems a
political deadlock or ‘hung” assembly but political parties are ready to unfold
their cards,relatively slowly.
The game already started on the final voting phase day when Mufti family praised
Atalbihari Vajpayee’s regime & showered flowers on present government.As
the results started pouring, mood in PDP camp was cheerful but cautious too as
they focused on BJP’s gain in jammu region.Before the end of the day PDP gave
clear signals to nationalists that they are ready to share power with
them.Though this proposed coalition may sound unique.it’s the need of hour.Why
& how?
First thing first.Times have changed .The entire nation is
heading towords much awaited political stability,which will obviously bring
peace & prosperity in years to come,politically, Prime Minister Narendrabhai
Modi has established himself as “golden crowned king” of Indian politics & Muftis know old & time tested formulae
very well that more you are near to
power more you are safer.
Interestingly with 28
seats in entire J & K assembly Mehbooba claimed for the power & BJP
with 25 seats & atleast 5 sympathiser MLAs (i.e. 30 MLAs, more than single
largest party post poll coalition) didn’t.That shows the dominance of valley in
J &K’s politics.Infact BJP has achieved something unachievable that one
couldn’t have even thought,had it not been a Modicentric,’Shah’tagic aggressive
campaign in J & K .BJP has gained 23% overall vote share that is equivalent to
PDP’s overall vote share.Though it’s dissected, BJP’s vote share in valley is
only 2.3% which is comparatively mimimal.BJP also incurred ‘heavy’ loss as its
all 25 candidates in valley lost & it didn’t open account in even Leh
Ladakh where actually they were expecting all four seats to accomplish
“Mission-44”.
Anyways the graound reality in J &K is totally different
now.PDP is ready to capture the power.Interestingly spent forces like congress
& national Conference(unashamedly) offering their support to keep away
“communal forces”out of power,it’s an old game in valley & unfortunately
for these parties it’s an outdated political option now.Interestingly that is the
part of actual game plan.If PDP accepts these offers Jammu region will lose
it’s much deserved,much awaited power
share in J & k assembly & injustice towards Jammu will continue for six
years more.
Since BJP has jumped it’s tally from 11 to 25 seats by
sweeping in Jammu region,it becomes it’s political duty to take care of regional
interests.From the establishment of J & K ,the state has been governed by
valley oriented leaders(barring a few cases) now its payback time for BJP to
Jammu region being another single largest(post poll) coalition & they
should not waste this opportunity.
If PDP +BJP formulae succeds(28+25) Jammu & Kashmir
state will see a new sunrise.Though both the parties have serious ideological differences
on the part of section
370,separatism,AFSPA etc. a common minimum programme will be a win win
situation for both the parties.Through this both can keep check & balance
over each other’s “uncommon” agendas.Power sharing formulae can be finalized
according to suitability of both the parties.
Now it’s high time for BJP to play
the same old game (always) played by congress & NC in J & K to keep
them away from power,which ultimately make them irrelevant sooner or later in J
& K politics.BJP will be able to strengthen it’s position in other parts of
valley & Leh Ladakh in future,if they handle the coalition carefully.This
coalition will pass a serious message across border also.Pakistan & it’s
separatist agenda may get curbed in this new situation.New vistas of
development & employment will open for J &K’s youth.So, it’s time for
Amitbhai to sing ‘Mehbooba…Mehbooba…” & offer her 25 “lotuses”.By the way
lotus is a state symbol of Jammu & Kashmir.
000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
