(Image Courtesy :Google Images)
So, today it is the last & most
awaited phase of general elections-2014.Shriman Modi & other few
distinguished ‘Netaz’ future is sealed in EVMs today.In my last post I
predicted comfortable victory for BJP+(NDA).Now here are the reasons why
Shriman Modi will take oath as a prime minister of this great nation in a few
days.
*Anti
Incumbancy Factor: 10 years of UPA Raaj was a disastrous experience for
‘mango people’.(in some cases even for congress loyalists too) In it’s first
tenure UPA raised hopes in common man’s heart but in second part(2009-2014) it
failed to fulfill the promises.All sorts of ‘certified scams(certified by CAG)
also marred it’s image and killed all the possibilities of returning to power.Well,
in all cases long term power doesn’t mean anti incumbency,say for example in
recently concluded five assembly elections congress lost it’s both states i.e.
Delhi & Rajasthan while BJP retained Madhyapradesh & Chhattisgarh &
also captured Rajasthan from congress.
So what went wrong with congress? It’s
inability to stop price rise,high inflation,rampant corruption & all sort
of economic drudgery that a common man feels.Most importantly it failed to
control it’s state units intact.the infight within state units was on it’s peak
& they never united to deafeat bjp & we know the results.On the other
hand under Narendrabhai’s leadership bjp heat the bull’s eye,opened all the
follies of upa government & encashed
the anti establishment mood.
*Attracting
Youth & Women Voters: Interestingly in this elections where there are
52% voters are youth who have aspirations regarding their employment,education
etc.Though upa tried hard to implement some of it’s youth & employment
oriented flagship programmes it couldn’t took off due to in efficiency on the
government’s part.Out of this young voters around 22% voters are first timers
who have seen the negative sides of UPA & positive branding of Narendra
Modi on various platform.His ‘Gujarat model of governence’ & it’s propagation
has increased their curiosity.especially women voters across the nation, home
makers are fed up with issues like price rise, inflation which directly heat
their budget.So, these voters are in ‘revenge’ mode now.
*Well
planned strategy & prepoll alliance:In India only rabble rousing can’t
bear the fruits of victory.you need to choose right partners for victory.This
time BJP choose near about 25 regional political parties & strengthen it’s
weak base in certain eastern & southern states.’The Grand Alliance’ in
south & ‘Mahayuti’ in Maharashtra will do miracles since BJP has chosen
right partners in respective states.These 25 party pre poll alliance has again
removed political stigma for
Narendrabhai.Infact this partners may be usefull for BJP’s post poll
alliance,if it is required at all.But a word of caution,this pre poll alliance
will definitely need good co-ordination & a common mimimum programme as all
regional partie will definitely eye on their pound of flash & regional
interests.
*Higher
Voting Turnout: Well ,this may be
the matter of tv studio debate whether a higher voting turnout is a vote for
change or not? But as per my assessment the way voting turnout is breaking it’s
all records nationwide it is an indication of change.People,especially youth,,women,farmers
have voted as if they have decided to throw present government at any cost and
the alternative? Well, you know the answer.In general it is not necessary that
higher turnout should indicate change but after 1984(Indiraji’s death)this is the
only election where voters are voting decisively for a stable government.
*Stability
Plank: This is the most important aspect of this elections. People of this
nation have watche all sorts of thuggish coalition governments, full of
economic scams & non decisiveness on all important issues.Now after these
experiments voters have probably decided
to vote for decisive, stable government haeded by a person who is not a
spineless politician & who can fulfill his promises.BJP has tried hard to
propagate thei stability plank at fullest.
*Strong
Branding Of NAMO: as the Gujarat assembly elections were over & NAMO
took charge for third term the foundation stone of his ‘road to Delhi’ was
laid.Narendra Modi’s smart media managers have already started polishing his
image nationwide(and internationally too).His decisiveness,good governance
& hard core development oriented decisions were carefully publicized across
nation.It created a very positive image amongst Indian citizens of all ages.The
smart use of media made his name popular in every household.
*Aggressive
Communication Strategy:In 21st century nothing is impossible for
if you have enough money & tremendous will power.BJP managed to give smart
makeover to NAMO’s image(post 2002) by using same media which lambasted him for
years.In a country where almost every house(& juggi jhopdi too) has tv
connections & mobile phones it is wasy to reach people’s heart.Some of the
best brains of communication industry made this impossible & comparatively
difficult task possible by using popular social networking platforms & it’s
craze amongst youth.
*Minority
Appeasement By Congress: In fact Congress has helped NAMO in many ways but minority appeasement will prove costly to
congress this time because narendra Modi & his team carefully toned down
congress’s minority appeasement policies during
this elections.it obviously polarized ‘the hindu’ votes in BJP’s
favour.Congress wanted to take advantage of NAMO’s post 2002 anti minority
image & for that they did scathing attack on him too but Ahmedabad’s
metropolitan court’s judgement has turned the tabl,ultimately this strategy has
proved wrong & it will rebound as it has polarized votes significantly
against congress.
*”Sangh” Shakti Kalauyugey’: Full & finally the ‘Parivaar’ has backed it’s ‘vadnagar
boy’ whole heartedly.RSS’s determination to vote against the present
government has proved the last nail in
the UPA’s coffin.The higher turnout also indicates the aggressive & pro BJP
voting by swayamsevaks nationewide.Interestingly these votes are targeted to
benefit BJP candiadates irrespective of cast & creed’s political equations.
Well, these are some of the
indiacators of NDA’s returning to power
with a fresh blood.I will share state wise seat projection for NDA in part 3
soon, till than aavjo…
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